The researchers estimate the energy savings that can be achieved using MPC to be around 10 - 15 % across all the buildings tested. To this end, a digital twin of the buildings was operated comparatively using different control strategies. Intelligent control of the room temperature, automated window opening and adjustment of the solar shading (focus on heating/air conditioning; effects on electricity demand for lighting not included) have the greatest impact on energy savings. The solar shading
is designed to make maximum use of solar heat gains and daylight in order to minimize energy consumption for heating and lighting. The measurements were able to confirm the quality of the simulations. More energy-efficient room temperature profiles were measured. However, due to a lack of meters in the individual rooms/parts of the building, it was not possible to carry out a precise comparison of the energy consumption. Quantitatively, the LLEC can confirm the high accuracy of the white-box MPC model. The Root Mean Square Error (RSME) between the measured and estimated room temperature was 0.49 °C. The efficient operation of the control system was also demonstrated. In comparison with a conventional control approach (0.47 kh/d), the thermal discomfort remained largely stable with a value of 0.53 kh/d.
In terms of user involvement, it should be noted that various measures (dashboards, JuControl, JuPower) have been used by more than 1,300 employees since 2020. To evaluate the effectiveness of user involvement, a regression model was set up based on the historical data before the measures were implemented, which describes the heating energy demand as a function of the outside temperature (fit quality: R2 = 0.91). This model was then also applied to the period with implemented measures for user involvement and compared with the actual energy consumption of the building. It was shown that, compared to the reference period, the heating demand increased less strongly depending on the outside temperature and the average temperature of the pilot building could be reduced by 1 °C on average. These effects contributed significantly to the measured reduction in consumption of 11.1 MWh per year (- 16.7 %), which those responsible attribute to the more efficient use of the heating system and more efficient user behavior due to the same system parameters (energy status of the building and the heating system). With a gas-fired power plant for heating (assumed emission factor of 200 g CO2e/kWh primary; primary energy factor natural gas = 1.1), this corresponds to a saving of approx. 2.44 t CO2e per year. Corrections were made for differences in the outside temperature between the two periods, but other influencing variables were not taken into account (e.g. wind, solar gains). The comfort level of the people was not negatively affected. The project managers point out the additional potential, as only a fifth of the offices in the building were activated for the measures to integrate users.
The negative environmental impacts of the installed components were not balanced for either the MPC or the user integration. With the (component) infrastructure found at the LLEC, the difficulty in assessing the negative impacts lies primarily in the allocation of the components, as many other processes and applications use the same components in addition to the digital applications described here. It is therefore difficult to allocate them precisely to individual digital applications. However, a large number of battery-operated components had to be installed for the individual room measurements (> 1800 components on the campus in total). As all of these components are constantly exchanging data with the digital applications or accessing them, a correspondingly high amount of data is required. For the user integration measures alone, 364 million data records were recorded and processed in around 3 years (approx. 74 GB in total or approx. 25 GB/a). The researchers assume that the amount of data could be reduced by approx. 25% with an even more practical implementation. On the one hand, because the number of data points could be reduced by approximately this amount. Secondly, because after successful testing in a research context, fewer redundancies in the measuring points and less data granularity would be required. Around 300 MB of data is processed daily on an OpenStack server for the MPC. Only a fraction of this is used to record measurement data from the rooms (approx. 5 MB per day; 15 minutes of data on room temperature, the status of window and door contacts and the number of people in the room). Taken together, user integration and the MPC require virtual resources for approx. 124 GB per year, which would mean estimated CO2 emissions of approx. 339 kg CO2e (see estimate of the negative effects of data transmission and processing
here ).
Finally, the project sees various opportunities for future research projects. As MPC models promise high savings potential, but at the same time require a great deal of effort for individual calibration, there is a great need for the development of easily transferable MPC approaches for commercial purposes. The intended linking of the two applications of the project (MPC & user integration) is also aimed at simplified transfer to other buildings. This means that efficiency-enhancing customization options are still possible within the MPC cost function. As both aspects were developed on a modular basis, a future linkage is conceivable and makes sense, for example to test the effectiveness of the MPC under the influence of user-defined comfort settings or customized recommendations for action to the users. The researchers also cite the need for more comprehensive tests in larger buildings, including integer decision variables and the flow temperatures of heating water volume flows (central heating systems) as further areas of development.